It's almost here. Right around the corner. Just about ready.
https://www.wsj.com/tech/ibm-getting-ready-to-scale-quantum-computing-b2418cd5
By: Elias Schisgall |
June 23, 2026 2:32 pm ET
YORKTOWN HEIGHTS, N. Y.—International Business
Machines has spent a decade building, testing and improving in the
once-theoretical realm of quantum computing at its glass-paneled
laboratory complex in upstate New York.This
year, the company is laying the groundwork to turn that technology into
a fully-fledged, scalable business from an expensive science project.IBM
said last month it plans to form a new independent subsidiary called
Anderon, a foundry to produce the silicon wafers needed to make
quantum-computing processors. The venture is seeded by a $1 billion
investment from the Trump administration and another $1 billion of IBM’s
own cash.Anderon will give the company a
new line of business in selling wafers to other quantum-computing
companies. It will also provide a steady stream of wafers to continue
developing its own quantum technology, positioning IBM to capture part
of what the Boston Consulting Group projects will be a $90 billion to
$170 billion market for quantum-computing providers by 2040.The
venture will begin with an expansion of the company’s in-house facility
in Albany, N.Y., which makes wafers for IBM’s internal research. “Now
we have to scale it,” IBM Director of Research Jay Gambetta said in an
interview.The company also plans to spend
an additional $9 billion over five years to advance the final stages of
its quest to build a quantum-mechanics-powered computer capable and
reliable enough for widespread use, a goal known as fault tolerance.
That computer, named Starling, is being targeted for 2029.With Anderon, IBM is thinking beyond Starling, or even a more powerful quantum computer planned for 2033.“If
you’re serious about this, it’s about manufacturing at scale,” IBM Vice
President of Quantum Adoption Scott Crowder said. “Anderon is one of
the pieces, from a supply-chain point of view, that we need to have to
not just have the existence proof of one quantum computer, but to be
able to build multiple quantum computers.”Quantum
computing, which leverages the properties of quantum particles to
perform calculations out of reach for a classical computer, has been on
something of a hot streak recently.In
addition to its $1 billion investment in Anderon, the Trump
administration is investing another billion across a range of
quantum-computing firms through the Commerce Department. Google and Microsoft have both claimed quantum-computing breakthroughs within the past year.On
Monday, President Trump doubled down on the industry, signing executive
orders setting a 2028 goal for a quantum computer that can perform
scientific research and directing agencies to prepare for the
possibility that quantum computers could break standard encryption
methods more quickly than expected. IBM Chief Executive Officer Arvind
Krishna attended the signing ceremony.The
success of artificial intelligence has increased investors’ appetite for
technologies that once seemed futuristic, Citibank analyst Fatima
Boolani said. The administration’s support for the industry serves as an
additional vote of confidence. “Immediately, our reaction was, ‘This
puts quantum on the map,’” she said.Wafers
from Anderon are expected to begin production later this year. The
company is still ironing out details of the venture, including its board
and leadership team. The Trump administration will have an equity stake
in the venture but no governance over its operations, the company said.The
foundry will be a subsidiary of IBM, which will be an anchor customer
and supply talent and intellectual property. Anderon will be walled off
from the rest of IBM, and plans to raise additional investment and sell
silicon wafers to other quantum-computing firms, many of whom have
already expressed interest, Gambetta said.For
now, Anderon’s client base will be limited to quantum-computing firms
using the same quantum-computing modality as IBM, although it plans to
eventually expand to other modalities based on demand. The company opts
for superconducting silicon circuits to act as “qubits”—the quantum
equivalent of “bits” in a classical computer. A handful of firms
pursuing quantum computers use the same modality, such as Google,
Rigetti Computing and D-Wave Quantum.IBM’s
bet on superconducting qubits is a trade-off. They have to be cooled to
near deep-space temperatures and are comparatively more error-prone than
other quantum modalities, meaning IBM has to focus more on methods to
correct those errors in real time.Where
superconducting qubits have an edge, however, is speed and scalability,
Gambetta said. “Our view, and what we’ve always built our program on, is
we’re going to build it on a technology that scales,” he said. “If
other technologies emerge that could leverage the scaling of silicon and
still have speed, I would happily consider that.”Anderon
is designed in part to address another, more traditional obstacle:
wear-and-tear. “We’re at a point that the biggest delays in our roadmap
are tools going down,” Gambetta said.He
predicted that ultimately one or two quantum-computing providers will
emerge as a clear winner in the space. IBM sees itself as having a
technical lead, but its broader goal is to build out an ecosystem of
suppliers and quantum-computing software developers centered on its
technology.But, for now, Gambetta said, the path ahead is clear.“The
strategy is very simple: Build our quantum computers as fast as
possible,” he said. “To build them as fast as possible, we need to build
our systems and we need to have a stable supply of wafers. And I want
to be the fastest at building this technology.”