#oilproduction

ConocoPhillips had extensive and profitable operations in Venezuela. With the country’s expressed interest that oil operators return will ConocoPhillips return and use its technical acumen with horizontal wells and frac technology to deliver exceptional results in Venezuela?

Is the Performance Harassment Cycle affectionately known as PIP administered fairly and equitably at XOM?
Is PIP used as a method to legally remove dead wood 🪵 or is employed to stifle, marginalize and sabotage employees that are competent and valuable to the organization?
When (time frame) will PIP manifest itself as declining oil production as has been evidenced recently in onshore assets?

With the big jump in oil price, I expected stock price of the oil majors (particularly the ones that don’t ship through the strait) to jump proportionately. They are actually flat or slightly down. Thoughts?

The Permian Basin is projected to sustain U.S. oil production through 2030. However, some experts believe that the basin could peak within the next twelve months, indicating a potential decline in production. Additionally, it has been noted that the Permian Basin is depleting faster than generally believed, with output possibly peaking as early as 2023. Thus, while the basin has significant production capabilities, its longevity may be shorter than previously anticipated.

The Permian Basin, a prolific oil-producing region in the United States, is projected to sustain U.S. oil production through 2030, according to Enverus Intelligence Research. This oil production prediction hinges on the Permian Basin's capacity to offset declines from mature basins like the Bakken and Eagle Ford Shale. The Permian Basin reserves' future growth will largely stem from more extensional, less-proven areas, where horizontal drilling continues to unlock new potential. While U.S. production growth is expected to remain flat due to inventory degradation and cautious capital expenditure by E&P companies, the Permian Basin's oil production output gains will play a crucial role in maintaining national levels.

Leading Indicators:

Permian Basin's Role:

• The Permian Basin will be the primary driver in maintaining U.S. oil production levels.

• The region's output is expected to offset declines in other mature basins.

Future Growth:

• Incremental gains will come from horizontals drilled in the fringier parts of the Permian.

• Enverus forecasts an additional 2 million barrels per day (MMbbl/d) from the Permian by 2030.

Industry Trends:

• U.S. E&P companies are operating in "maintenance mode," focusing on returning cash to shareholders rather than expanding production.
• This cautious approach contrasts with the aggressive production growth strategies of the past.

Global Supply Contributions:

• In addition to the Permian, other significant contributors to global oil supply by 2030 include Brazil's Búzios oil field and Guyana's developments led by Exxon Mobil, Hess Corp., and CNOOC.

Implications for the Energy Sector:

Sustained Production:

• The Permian Basin's ability to sustain U.S. oil production has broader implications for global energy markets, ensuring steady supply despite regional declines.

Economic Viability:

• The focus on less-proven areas indicates a shift towards maximizing existing resources, albeit at higher operational costs.

Strategic Investments:

• Energy companies might need to balance shareholder returns with strategic investments in new drilling technologies and exploration of less developed zones to maintain long-term production levels.

The continued development of oil production in the Permian Basin is critical for maintaining U.S. levels through 2030. While production growth might plateau, the basin's output will be pivotal in counterbalancing declines from other regions. This strategic focus on sustaining production highlights the evolving dynamics in the energy sector, emphasizing the importance of innovative exploration and efficient resource management to meet future energy demands.

https://fairfieldgeo.com/blog/permian-gains-will-sustain-u-s-oil-production-through-2030

Remember when they told us that if we help "them" get to $12 and $16 respectively at CL and Kearl all will be good and we will all be safe.....yeeeeeeeeahhh

By Steve Gelsi

Domestic oil and gas production takes center stage in Exxon's latest capital project list

Exxon Mobil Corp. has announced plans to spend $140 billion in the Permian Basin region as part of a plan by the oil and gas giant to ramp up its earnings and return cash to shareholders with a focus on U.S. production.

The move comes after Exxon (XOM) topped upstream production expectations in the third quarter, after spending $60 billion to buy Pioneer Natural Resources, an acreage holder in the Permian Basin of West Texas.

Its cost savings for the Pioneer deal will total $3 billion, which is 50% more than its previous projections, the company said.

The oil major said its big spend in the Permian Basin will generate returns of more than 30% by 2030, which will drive cash returns to shareholders.

Exxon said it will buy back $20 billion in stock in 2026 after spending the same big sum in 2025 to repurchase its stock.

Exxon Mobil's stock was down 0.3% in premarket trading on Wednesday. The stock has risen 12.7% so far in 2024, while the S&P 500 SPX is up by 26.5%.

"The company's capital allocation approach prioritizes competitively advantaged, high-return, low-cost-of-supply investments," the company said.

It'll spend $27 billion to $29 billion on capital projects in 2025, which will be the first first full year of Pioneer in its portfolio.

Looking ahead, Exxon Mobil expects to earn an additional $20 billion and $30 billion in cash flow, with a compound annual earnings growth rate of 10%.

It's also targeting $7 billion in cost savings. Its cost savings for the Pioneer deal will total $3 billion, which is 50% more than its previous projections.

Some other major capital projects underway include:

-- A boost in production from Guyana by developing two additional projects called Longtail and Hammerhead. The oil major expects total production capacity of 1.7 million barrels per day by 2030 in Guyana.

-- Liquid natural gas (LNG) production investment including first LNG sales from the Golden Pass development in the U.S and from the Qatar North Field East expansion project in 2025. In 2026, it's planning to make final investment decisions at the Rovuma development in Mozambique and the Papua project in Papua New Guinea in 2026.

-- The world's first large-scale carbon capture and storage system for carbon dioxide for permanent subsurface storage capacity throughout the U.S. Gulf Coast.

-- ExxonMobil is targeting 2029 to start operations on what it bills as the world's largest low-carbon hydrogen facility in Baytown. It'll produce uip to 1 billion cubic feet of "virtually" carbon-free hydrogen per day with about 98% of the carbon dioxide captured and stored.

• Steve Gelsi

https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20241211219/exxon-pouring-140-billion-into-the-permian-basin-after-rise-in-third-quarter-production