Yes, the two times this company had an external CEO (Donahoe and Perez) it ended up being a disaster. Hopefully that mistake isn’t made a 3rd time.
As for Nike’s future prospects, what’s happening right now - with sales being more challenging - has been a long time coming and has been caused by broader market forces as much as anything.
Nike is a legacy company that came of age when everyone watched the same TV shows and we all broadly shared the same cultural zeitgeist. Those of us over the age of 40 or so can remember Nike commercials and marketing campaigns that became “water cooler talk” all across the land. Basically, there was a widely shared understanding of what was “cool”. And Nike was often at the heart of that.
Starting with Millennials however and picking up steam with Gen Z, that ability for legacy companies like Nike to define “cool” started losing its steam. This allowed new market entrants like Hoka and On to enter the picture in a way that would have been difficult 20 years ago.
So now Nike is trying to hang onto its legacy bonafides while also attempting to connect with consumers who, these days, are just much harder to establish deep relationships with. This means that while Nike isn’t going to go away anytime soon, the consistent high single-digit growth that many of us assumed was going to last forever…won’t.
Nike needs to get back to sport in a big way, focus on performance, and stop assuming that if we simply spend a couple billion dollars on sponsorships every year the product will essentially sell itself.
We also likely need to become a leaner company, even though that’ll mean saying “Bye” to a good number of colleagues. Twitter let go of 80% of its employees and be honest…can anyone REALLY tell that much of a difference? I’m not suggesting that Nike should shed 80% of its jobs. But I’m absolutely suggesting the company needs to seriously and significantly reduce its headcount to recalibrate for the new market reality. Most of us could easily name at least five people for whom, if they left tomorrow, nobody would notice. This shedding of headcount will need to happen, and hopefully before it becomes a forced option.