I’ve been covering enterprise software for the Journal for several years, and I wanted to weigh in on some of the speculation I’m seeing here about OpenText.
First, the AI replacement angle that keeps getting floated around various forums doesn’t hold water from what I can gather. OpenText’s AI capabilities are largely built on third-party partnerships—Google being a major one—rather than proprietary technology sophisticated enough for widespread job displacement. The company simply doesn’t have the technical infrastructure to pull off the kind of AI-driven workforce replacement some are suggesting.
Regarding the layoff patterns, I spoke with a source who’s been at OpenText for over 16 years. They indicated these workforce reductions follow a fairly predictable annual cycle. With the recent 1,600-person cut completed, they don’t expect another major round until 2026, based on historical patterns.
The geographic impact on U.S. workers isn’t about targeting Americans specifically—it’s economics and acquisition cleanup. OpenText has been on an acquisition spree without proper post-merger integration, creating redundancies. Many acquired employees happened to be in the U.S., where labor costs run significantly higher due to currency differentials. It’s basic cost arbitrage that most multinationals practice.
What’s more troubling for the company’s future is what my sources describe as serious technical debt. Engineering leadership allegedly hasn’t kept pace with modern software architecture—I’m hearing about practices like shoving VM contents into Kubernetes containers and calling it “containerized.” Their information management products reportedly lack basic security features like proper encryption and role-based access controls.
On the acquisition front, OpenText’s market cap limits potential buyers to the largest players, but the sprawling product portfolio makes integration a nightmare. Any deal would likely require breaking up the company rather than keeping it intact. Worth noting: they apparently don’t have poison pill provisions in place.
Watch for employee departures after bonus payments in late August and share vesting in September. That’s typically when people who stuck around through restructuring finally jump ship.
Anyone else hearing similar things from their sources inside the company?