And I don't see how guessing at percentages helps/informs anyone. Either the company is still open in some form on a certain date, or it isn't. There isn't really a middle ground on that. A percentage actually calculated by some quantitative analysis expert might help some investors/lenders make decisions, but people throwing out random numbers based on turning their 'yes or no' gut feeling into a meaningless number is useless.
If you're a potential investor without a PhD team of math/economics wizards to do that for you in a meaningful way, you're throwing your money away.
If you're a Sears employee, get another job as soon as possible, for stability and peace of mind.
If you're a customer, keep getting what deals you can for now, without committing to any long-term points installments.