DXC stock closed at 17.15 EST Friday 21st Dec at a 52-week low. Since Friday's close, more Independent stock advisors have revised their estimated of DXC stock to "Bad". Fickle bunch, aren't they? But DXC stock is rated as a "Bad" long-term investment (1 yr) with predictions that the stock could continue its fall of -45% wiping millions of DXC's value. If we look at the next 14 days (accepting of course the low-trading in the festive season), stock predictions are between $56.056 USD Upside to $47.590 USD downside, such is the market volatility on this stock at the moment.
So what has gone wrong?
A whole plethora of things have not worked in DXC's favour and the autocratic management style and some would say interference by consultants, the aquisitions and then refocus on joining the AWS/Microsoft competion as partners having tried to initially beat them at their own game, was a grave over-estimate of DXC's capability.
Poor Sales
DXC Revenue only edged up to 0.9% at the beginning of the FY2019 with its bookings then taking a tumble of 25% in the first quarter, together with timing deals and other factors. To compound this, DXC stock then fell another 18.4% after the departure of the company's America head, Karan Puri, was revealed in a leaked memo, shared by The Register. This stated that his departure was most likely linked to DXC's US double-digit sales decline; yet, CEO Mike Lawrie only announced his appointment in January of this year amid cut backs in the sales and delivery workforce
The head of global sales also departed earlier this year. The departure of an executive doesn't usually have such a large impact on a company's stock. But investors have become worried and view such incidents as a significant part of DXC's business being off-track. They have cautiously shifted investment elsewhere until more positive signs start to appear.
DXC Quarterly Q3 earnings report, February 14th 2019.
No doubt, this one will be of special importance to allay the fears of investors. After all, DXC promised $26B revenues by 2020 - which even on continued modest digital sales would have been a stretch, but now appears as a canyon to cross on negative sales. Will DXC be forced to revise its estimates or will it do what investors are hoping and announce some radical change in its business and operating model. It is unlikely that investors will swallow more of the labor cost-cutting as 'strategy' in itself. As such cuts are now arguably hurting the very bread and butter customers that might have otherwise entrusted their supplier with digital transformation. These trusted partners are now stepping back and witholding their own investments with caution until somepositive reassurances appear from the DXC.
A lot can happen between now and February 14th.
A Merry Christmas to you all.