Thread regarding Seagate Technology Inc. layoffs

STX and WDC do not agree to the future of HDD

At the Technology, Internet ensuring that WDC executes on the technology transition to 3D NAND and reducing the historical volatility in SanDisk’s gross margins. He said SanDisk was caught off guard with how quickly Samsung transitioned to 3D NAND but is now confident that SanDisk is on track with its 3D NAND transition.

Seagate CFO Dave Morton said his expectation was for roughly flat HDD industry revenue with the opportunity for some slight growth long-term, which is at odds with WDC’s view above.

There, declines in PCs (which make up around 30 per cent of total revenue) and Mission Critical disk drives (around eight per cent of revenue) will continue to be offset by growth opportunities in enterprise high-capacity/nearline, surveillance, and gaming markets.

Seagate continues to highlight a shift of total storage capacity shifting to the cloud. During the March quarter it saw slower demand for PC and mission critical drives, and was unable to fulfil its high-capacity drive demand. There was strong uptake of its 8TB drives and Morton sees a potential tailwind into the second half of 2016 driven by cloud demand.

There has been good progress in its development of Heat-Assisted Magnetic Recording (HAMR), with a potential 30 - 40 per cent increase in capacity. He believes the technology is ready to bring to market, though from a cost perspective it will likely not be released for one or two years, dependent on the demand for subsequent 12TB drives.

Some very interesting points made here. Who's prediction is more likely to be proven correct and who's prediction will be their Kodak moment. Strange how WD never made mention of HAMR. Just my observation.

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| 2671 views | | 9 replies (last June 23, 2016) | Reply
Post ID: @OP+HQARPsy

9 replies (most recent on top)

I don't know about how difficult WDC and STX says something is or If WDC wants to buy STX. I'm keeping my eye and stock in Samsung.

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Post ID: @ckaj+HQARPsy

Future of both STX and WDC is bright looking at long-term view. The current RIF and other cost reduction are needed to offset the last few bad quarters, but that doesn't mean these companies are bad.

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Post ID: @3fjo+HQARPsy

WDC is correct, and will probably end up buying what is left of STX for cheap once the executives are done milking it dry.

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Post ID: @1blr+HQARPsy

You shouldn't laugh. There is actually an Alternate Universe where HAMR drives sell like hotcakes. It is a universe where the melting points of all metals are at least 3.2 skwidzillion degrees C. And where drives with the very highest component costs are the most popular with customers. And where the success of a company is based on its ability to lose money.

It is a pretty weird universe, to say the least.

But in this universe? Er...... not so much.

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Post ID: @ffn+HQARPsy

As long as it has motor , the technology is dead . Don't waste time working on it .

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Post ID: @dmn+HQARPsy

"There has been good progress in its development of Heat-Assisted Magnetic Recording (HAMR), with a potential 30 - 40 per cent increase in capacity. He believes the technology is ready to bring to market,"

hahahhahHAHAHAHAHAHAhahaha

HAHAHhahahahhHaaaaahahhhhahahha

hahahahahahahahHAHAHAHAHAHAH

hahahahahahahaha

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Post ID: @iyo+HQARPsy

Sorry, but production HAMR drives have been "1-2 years away" since the Stone Age. I'll believe it when I see it.

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Post ID: @lvg+HQARPsy

I am leaning towards WD's view. Their management team is more astute .

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Post ID: @pev+HQARPsy

Sorry 1st paragraph disappeared should read

WDC's Steve Milligan told the Stifel Nicolaus conference that he expected the HDD industry will decline, both in units and revenue, at a mid-single digit rate going forward. This differs from Seagate’s view below.

He sees two main risks ahead; ensuring that WDC executes on the technology transition to 3D NAND and reducing the historical volatility in SanDisk’s gross margins. He said SanDisk was caught off guard with how quickly Samsung transitioned to 3D NAND but is now confident that SanDisk is on track with its 3D NAND transition.

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Post ID: @fzf+HQARPsy

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