From my point of view intel’s problem is 70p execution issue and 30p macroeconomic.
Before sharing my path to recovery, let’s take a look how intel ended up in this state.
Over the past 15 years intel has made huge business mistakes such as exiting GPU in 2009, not accepting Apple offer to work on iPhone, etc. however, the most important one started around 2017-18 when Intel become no longer an attractive place for young engineers to work. The primary reason was giving lower than avg market compensation. AMD, TSMC, and Samsung started hi------g top talent.
Now let’s talk how to fix this as I believe it’s never late! Intel needs to reduce management headcount similar to Facebook as Mark outlined. Intel has too many management layer and high ratio to engineers from what I have heard.
Total Headcount should be around 95k for company. Reducing headcount to this level is necessary to balance OpEx and margins.
Give the best and higher than average compensation that your top talent will never leave or think about it. There is a famous saying which says, “take care of your employees and they will take care of your business”
During 2008 crash I remember job market was much worst than 2023, but still top talented engineers found new jobs. Just go to LinkedIn and see still Meta and google hire top talent. Salary, bonus, 401k match was the worst decision that a company could make. This forces your top engineers to leave. You maybe happy that lowers headcount without cost of layoffs, but consequences are much worst on projects.
Intel should completely eliminated the dividend.
As I said, take care of your employee and they will take care of your business.
If you have 15 employees unhappy because of pay cuts vs 10 employees pay with higher than avg market comp. Which one works better and motivated?
Lastly, in Santa Clara AMDs office is across the street and your people are leaving. In Folsom they have opened another office across the street. See why people are leave and fix loosing your top SOC designers.
I’m not in favor of layoffs, to help reducing headcount first open VSP for people who want to retire.