This is from Barron's, link below:
Mike Wirth, CEO of Chevron, warned that energy markets are underestimating the severity of the oil supply shock caused by the Iran conflict. He said millions of barrels per day are already offline, with losses expected to grow, creating what experts describe as an “availability crisis.” Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, a key global shipping route, are tightening supply, especially for Asia, while futures markets still project relatively moderate prices. Despite recent volatility, with oil briefly spiking above $100 before falling, Wirth believes current pricing does not fully reflect the real physical shortages.
The situation is further complicated by uncertainty around how long the conflict will last and how quickly damaged infrastructure can be restored. Goldman Sachs has already raised its oil price forecast for 2026, anticipating prolonged disruption in supply flows. Even if the war ends soon, experts say it could take weeks, months, or longer to bring production fully back online, meaning supply constraints may persist. Overall, the article suggests that oil markets may be too optimistic, and prices could rise further if the supply shock proves more sustained than expected.
https://www.barrons.com/articles/chevron-ceo-crude-oil-prices-futures-f65915b8
No paywall:
https://archive.is/MHNek