Replaced with AI, cloud provider, outsourcing firm, or all of the above?
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GCC. Look it up.
Prediction? Dilip and his cronies in TOS will continue to fail to deliver any value to the company or complete any project of note and they will not deliver any savings and everyone will have to continue to layoff because of all of Dilips failures
My prediction for TOS is middle management, managers of managers, will continue being overwhelmingly useless. They will continue to attend meetings while adding nothing of value anywhere. They will continue struggling to breathe with their heads so far up their bosses azzes.
Push for Cloud migrations even though the ROI isn't there and most long-term COBOL programmers resist learning anything new.
Push the product model which is just re-arranging teams like deck chairs for no real benefit while agile coaches roll out new tools and word-police teams into submission.
Hold town halls where everyone competes to ask questions about AI and any other trendy buzzword that they think will put them on Dilip's radar.
Half of TOS laid off or quit. USB on the verge of bankruptcy bought by another bank. The rest of TOS laid off. GK gets $100M golden parachute.
The bank can use Vanguard or Cognizant resources in India for 1/2 the cost of an entry level employee in Minnesota. Be prepared for it.
Prediction? I think it is clear that it is a two step plan.
- RIF in USA via mass layoffs
- Open offices in India, Philippines etc. (cheap labor)
Rinse n repeat
All this talk about Cloud and AI replacing jobs feels a bit overhyped. Yes, AI can definitely speed up development and automate repetitive tasks, but fully replacing jobs? That’s still a stretch. AI struggles with creativity and context. It needs to be trained like a child learning to walk, ride a bike, and eventually drive a car. Sure, driverless taxis might work in perfect conditions, but will they completely replace human drivers anytime soon? Highly doubtful.
Cloud computing might reduce some traditional infrastructure roles, but let’s not pretend it simplifies everything. Cloud environments are just as complex and still need real people to manage architecture, security, compliance, and costs.
Ironically though, if there’s any category of jobs AI could start with, it might be the managing committee and their loyal minions. Let’s be honest, they often contribute little of value, make decisions based on buzzwords, and seem utterly clueless about the actual work. If AI ever reaches the point of replacing people who hold meetings about meetings, we might finally see some real productivity gains.
They will try to replace with AI, but they are doing a consistent job making those who program AI miserable so expect failure. GK can p!$$ ott
My prediction is the cancellation of the cloud migration project.