The pivotal acquisition was the strategy, followed by acquisitions like Wavefront - all rebranded under Tanzu.
VMware is spreading themselves thin, trying to be a master of everything, but expert in nothing relevant.
What's left of on-prem, Nutanix is eating away at marketshare in hyperconverged.
Pure-plays like Okta, Ping, Splunk & Datadog are going to continue to offer best in class products in specific categories.
Cloud providers are going to continue to be faster to market, and creating a talent pool that dwarfs VMware. E.g. - VMware hands on labs are disposable and walled off. Cloud providers are so anxious to get you skilled up on their platforms, they provide always-free tiers of services. There is no such thing as a Tanzu/vrealize cloud always free tier. Who is actually learning these products anymore, unless forced by employer?
It doesn't help when products like vSAN are downright uncompetitive.
EUC strategy is to go after SCCM mgmt for platforms like windows 10, but are at the mercy of Microsoft in countless ways. Microsoft doesn't cut off management capabilities more than they already have to avoid anti-trust case.
Contractors have taken over VMware. It's so bad, they send managers reminders constantly that contractors cannot manage or supervise VMware staff. When you can't appease wall street with growth, you go for margins. Simply put, no one has a vested stake in the success of VMware anymore.
There is no R&D, this is Symantec 2.0. Products are acquired with the hope of bolting on growth, while the staff are laid off, and product development and management is done almost entirely offshore. Implementation and customer management is done by contractors and overseas staff who are hired/fired as projects come & go. Support is all overseas.
It is all very sad. There just isn't any momentum in VMware product lineup.
Dell will cut their stake in VMware to pay down debt. When valuation drops to an affordable price point. IBM will acquire VMware. IBM is selling their managed services division for half of the valuation of VMware (yes...a managed services division is so profitable and big that it is worth half of VMware). IBM is paying down debt, and creating free cash flow to purchase a company like VMware.
Very fitting acquisition target. In the data center, next to the AS/400 iSeries and DB2 legacy tech, IBM will own the patents to everything running legacy VMware hypervisors. The only way VMware doesn't go to IBM, is if Dell steps up and acquires VMware - but emc purchase has them drowning in debt and unable to make a move. This is why VMware have a weird marriage with IBM Softlayer as one of their first cloud partnership. Don't forget Broadcom acquired Symantec; making the wildcard prediction that a company like Qualcomm acquires VMware.
VMware is the pied piper of silicon valley.