Thread regarding IBM layoffs

IBM Bet Everything on an Acquisition in 2019. Now It Needs to Grow Again.

IBM shares have appreciated about 18% in 2019, well below the nearly 48% return for the average
tech stock in the S&P 500, and the roughly 30% gain for the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Up
about $21 this year, IBM accounts for about 3% of this year’s more than 5,200 point gain on the
Dow.

The first sentence of this paragraph is such a damning indictment of Ginni's tenure.

https://www.barrons.com/articles/ibm-bet-everything-on-red-hat-in-2019-51577479288

For IBM, 2019 was the year Big Blue doubled-down on the cloud.

In July, the enterprise technology giant completed its $34 billion acquisition of Red Hat, the dominant provider of open-source operating system software and support. The deal is a bet that IBM (ticker: IBM) can sell more of its own software and services to Red Hat’s customers—and that IBM customers are the perfect target to become Red Hat customers.

The Red Hat deal is just one in a decades-long series of IBM moves to keep up with shifting technology trends. Keep in mind that IBM over the years built and later unloaded large businesses in desktop computers, laptops, printers, microprocessors, chip manufacturing, and typewriters. (Didn’t you once own an IBM Selectric?) The latest move will help IBM stay relevant in a world in which cloud-based services have come to dominate the information technology landscape.

While IBM over the last decade has made a lot of noise about Watson, the company’s cloud-based artificial intelligence software platform, the company has been slow to establish a leadership position in the public cloud, falling behind the market leaders: Amazon.com’s (AMZN) Amazon Web Services, Microsoft’s (MSFT) Azure, and Alphabet’s (GOOGL) Google Cloud Platform.

Like many legacy tech players, IBM has been trying to shift the attention of investors to the faster growing elements of its business, even as older business lines like mainframe hardware and global technology services continues to shrink. With the Red Hat acquisition, IBM has found a way to reverse its top-line decline—the company expects Red Hat to add four to five percentage points to its revenue growth in 2020, and two to three points in 2021. The Street estimates revenues were down 3.1% this year, while projecting 3.2% growth next year, including the impact of Red Hat.

IBM shares have appreciated about 18% in 2019, well below the nearly 48% return for the average tech stock in the S&P 500, and the roughly 30% gain for the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Up about $21 this year, IBM accounts for about 3% of this year’s more than 5,200 point gain on the Dow.

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| 2012 views | | 6 replies (last January 9, 2020) | Reply
Post ID: @OP+12OHzcb5

6 replies (most recent on top)

It’s ok. We all know the future is the Quantum Blockchain Singularity. It will save IBM from all bad things while simultaneously avoiding the need to actually focus on real technology people want

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Post ID: @7qbp+12OHzcb5

Just wait the next earnings call (Jan 21), results will be bad, stock to go down 10%. Getting closer for the corporate raiders to enter in the action.

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Post ID: @4zar+12OHzcb5

If you don’t think the corporate raiders aren’t doing their sizing you are not paying attention. HP is 4x the size of Xerox, and yet Wall Street will bankroll Xerox’s hostile offer. IBM due to its large free cash flow and hyper poor exec management team is definitely in the cross hairs. A corporate raider could easily remove 30% of IBM’s head count and not miss a beat. If a corporate raider buys 3-4% of IBM stock, you will know that IBM has become “in play” Icahn is waging their HP take over Via Xerox with just a 4% ownership. 2020 is about to get interesting as there is easy access to money, and very little political resistance to take overs. The purchase of Redhat looks to be a buy a new dress for the big date strategy. It’s not if, but when and with who

https://finance.yahoo.com/quotes/ibm,orcl,hpq,hpe,rht,msft,intc,emc/

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Post ID: @4gnl+12OHzcb5

I hate to say it, but growth will not happen until we see a completely new management team... CEO, SVPs and BOD.

  • and what is the likelihood of that? Not good in the short term!

So brace for some of the same stuff.

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Post ID: @mix+12OHzcb5

It’s unclear to me whether Ginni is really calling the shots. But what is clear is a lack of alignment across business units which leads me to believe that she has no control over her staff. Then it would make sense that we see such huge reactionary acquisitions and changes in direction like she has made. The naïveté that someone can rely on cross selling and up selling alone to grow profits on an existing client base, when 0 investment is made in fostering competent and caring client relationships (hint hint- pay your people better and they will care more!) It’s so obvious that none of the board or the first few lines of executives are qualified to run a business. It’s time to clean house. Aren’t the 10 year stock price comparison charts embarrassing enough???

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Post ID: @xwp+12OHzcb5

It’s all about innovation. What innovation does IBM bring to the table vs Amazon/Microsoft/Google. IBM moved from innovating to a services company without lowering their costs. IBM’s cost structure vs most innovative companies is approx 30% higher. You can only ride your relationships for so long when your costs are 30% higher. If IBM doesn’t lower their costs to compete, or figure out how to be innovative to command a higher price they are pretty much done due to dumping their relationships personnel to try and save their way to prosperity. Every Executive decision has proved to be reactionary and non-strategic. Ginni has spent IBM’s money on just about any music man who has sung a compelling strategic SW tune trying to find a new strategy. (healthcare, softlayer, blockchain, AI, cloud,). Alas the sweet SW tune was nothing more than the music man picking your pocket, due to a lack of vision. How many strategic initiatives has Ginni burned thru? It’s time to change horses. IBM’s balance sheet can’t take any more goodwill. The new management team needs to embrace innovation, as IBM will never get down to commodity costs. That will mean a large strategic re-org with IBM exiting several businesses. Revenue will shrink by 35%, but profits and growth should return. It can’t happen fast enough

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Post ID: @lze+12OHzcb5

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