https://seekingalpha.com/article/4805140-shell-brace-for-dissapointing-q2-results-and-early-signs-of-upstream-decline
Q2 may be the beginning of Shell's upstream output decline
Looking at Shell's upstream projects (https://www.shell.com/investors/results-and-reporting/portfolio-and-major-projects.html#tab-upstream) that are set to start production this year and next, it looks like it is set to add about 140,000 barrels of oil equivalent, or about 3.5% of its current output, each year. It is a very tight situation in this regard, given that fields that are already in decline have been known to experience a faster rate of output loss than 3.5%/year. Based on this point of reference, we can assume that at best, Shell is set to continue holding production levels steady as it did in the past two years, just barely. It is more than likely that it will experience a steady and gentle upstream output decline slope.
🤡 we don’t need new assets - LT 🤡