Thread regarding VMware layoffs

What percentage of workforce will be laid off on Day1?

My guess is 30%

If Broadcom is going to lay off 30% on day one (and this is a LOW estimate), that means about 12k, yes 12 thousand people to be laid off.

The cuts will be broad and across the board but heavier (percentage wise) in HR, Legal, GA, and corporate marketing.

Each BU will be broadly cut as well. Heavier cuts within the BU's will be management, product marketing, product management and then engineering in that order. Percentage wise I suspect, PMM (50%), PLM (30%) and engineering (20%). Management layer will be cut more than 50%.

Thoughts?

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| 2693 views | | 9 replies (last June 16, 2022) | Reply
Post ID: @OP+1hceznsY

9 replies (most recent on top)

No one can predict when the regulatory approvals will come in from around the world, since there is no real competitive/monopoly challenges, those should come in rather quickly (ie: before November). Although one can really never predict when governments around the world will respond with approvals.

In most deals, they were able to get approvals in 3 - 4 months. The country list is the same as the earlier deals, so shouldn’t be anything too crazy.

The Broadcom Team will do everything possible to get the approvals in time for the beginning of the new fiscal year for them.

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Post ID: @4kql+1hceznsY

@xsr+1hceznsY

Not sure, closing is not just dependent on Broadcom/VMW, they have to go through a lot of regulatory hurdles.

If it is just left to Broadcom, it will be done by Nov1.

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Post ID: @4wqm+1hceznsY

@fwn+1hceznsY

Yes, although Broadcom would like to reach EBITDA of $8.5 bil, they have stated that they will reach that goal in 3 years from the close.
So that means that the 50% cuts will happen over the next 2-3 years, and not on day 1.
At least let's hope so.

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Post ID: @kcf+1hceznsY

@rik+1hceznsY
What is your guess about when would the acquisition close?
6 months (Nov '22) or 9 months (Feb-March '23)?

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Post ID: @xsr+1hceznsY

50% of roles gone on day 1 (most of VPs will stay through significant incentives)
20% reduced after 1 year
30% of roles will stay (reorganized, of course)

Some people seem to think that the assessment of roles to cut will start after the close, which is incorrect. During the next 6 months, the integration/tiger team will be working with our VPs to decide who will be in that first 50% RIF. It's doable. All in VMware know that but do not want to admit it publicly.

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Post ID: @rik+1hceznsY

I think 50% sends a good strong message that you aren’t in Kansas anymore, certainly seems achievable given the stated financial goals. People are expensive.

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Post ID: @kmy+1hceznsY

I would think it would be 50% minimum.

Broadcom already mentioned that they will increase profits from 4.5B to 8.5B. The only way they would do this is by cutting cost, layoffs.

At present Broadcom makes 32B with 20K employees ie 1.6M/employee and VMW makes 13B from 37.5K employees ie ~350K/employee . They will try to get VMW to the same $/employee ratio as Broadcom. Although it would be hard for a pure software company to do this.

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Post ID: @fwn+1hceznsY

40% .. Octane likes quick execution. Before making the offer, Octane and his team knew exactly what/how much needs to be cut. Octane likes quick and dirty execution.

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Post ID: @zgb+1hceznsY

I am surprised that there are no other guesses.
My answer would be 25%.

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Post ID: @eqq+1hceznsY

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