Thread regarding Occidental Petroleum Corp. layoffs

Service Companies Disappearing

Serious question here and wanted to see what personnel from a major oil company think about this topic. I will throw in a disclaimer, I work for a major service company. The story of major service companies in our industry for the last 20 years has been capital destruction. Through mismanagement or whatever, these companies are burning through cash at an alarming rate.

From my vantage point, I see many service and suppliers going out of business this time [read this downturn]. I also see the supply chain for this industry being destroyed day by day.

Do you or those at high management levels in your company feel that the day is coming, and perhaps soon, when you need a frac job, a workover rig, a logging job, cement job, artificial lift, and you make the phone call and nobody will answer? Just wondering...seems plausible to me at any rate.

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| 3413 views | | 6 replies (last May 25, 2020) | Reply
Post ID: @OP+1555l1L0

6 replies (most recent on top)

@bzq+1555l1L0. This is so true, and yet no one ever speaks to it.

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Post ID: @3akt+1555l1L0

Agreed @hsr, but for better or worse, that one is most likely to be the one with the blue trucks you used to see all over the place.

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Post ID: @1lxc+1555l1L0

Most of energy sector companies can’t buy there influence with Congress anymore and even the ones that can probably won’t get far. I honestly believe in 18-36 months we’ll be nationalizing energy companies among many other industries to keep them alive due to lack of demand. Bush nationalized the investment banks back in 2008 but the banks were able to take capital without compromise or oversight which led to extravagant bonuses and vacations, so that will never happen again without oversight. I’m sorry to say but Oxy will become another Bear Stearns, there’s just too many companies and not enough demand.

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Post ID: @cxz+1555l1L0

As long as Billy Ray wants to show off his new Ford F-250 and Ranger bass boat (and at least one well is being drilled and completed) there will be someone around to answer the phone.

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Post ID: @hsr+1555l1L0

There will always be someone out there that thinks they will be the one to be able to make money in this industry (in any portion of the industry), that will be willing to start a business or take over liquidated assets from defunct companies. For the most recent crash, I blame the bankers for incentivizing public companies to care solely about FCF. The industry is just a massive Ponzi scheme taking money from public investors. Our high paying jobs and low gas/plastics prices are subsidized by the losing bond and equity investors. This is just my perception, of course.

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Post ID: @bzq+1555l1L0

I do. One of first topics i saw trend on this downturn. Many stock traders who know the balance sheets and exposure the servicing companies have went straight to shorting, not the oil companies but servicers. In short, Wall St. clearly sees many simply will not sustain at this price level..whether others do the math...but like the airlines, banking, who knows at what level there would be intervention

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Post ID: @opf+1555l1L0

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