“Tons of SAS folk actually believe there will be an IPO… SAS lacks even the most basic requirements to do one successfully.”
That’s incorrect; any company can IPO. Neither growth, nor profits, are required.
SAS can certainly IPO. They want that option, because an IPO usually brings a better price than a private sale.
SAS has publicly announced they will be “IPO-ready” in 2025, so they probably will be.
All that said, the markets have taken a turn. The uncertainty over tariffs means businesses can’t predict their costs, so they hesitate to make commitments. This slows hiring, mergers and acquisitions, large new purchases (e.g. Viya), and IPOs.
The US announced another batch of tariffs today. Other countries will retaliate. We can’t tell yet whether we are in a global trade war, or a temporary spat. Many IPOs will be on hold until the situation becomes clear.