Thread regarding IBM layoffs

IBM Spills Details on Kyndryl Spinoff. What You Need to Know.

As stated in the filing, the company had losses on a GAAP basis in both 2020 and the
first half of 2021, but that includes one-time charges related to both workforce
reduction and the spinoff.

https://www.barrons.com/articles/ibm-spills-details-on-kyndryl-spinoff-what-you-need-to-know-51632922986

IBM late Tuesday made a key filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission disclosing details of its planned tax-free spinoff of Kyndryl, the company’s 90,000-employee IT infrastructure business.

According to the filing at https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1867072/000110465921120290/tm2119587-9_ex99d1.htm, IBM (ticker: IBM) continues to expect to complete the Kyndryl spinoff before year-end. Kyndryl will list on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol KD.

IBM expects to distribute at least 80.1% of the new company’s shares to current holders, with IBM retaining the rest for resale within the first 12 months after completion of the spinoff, likely in the form of an underwritten public offering.

The filing shows that Kyndryl on a pro forma basis had 2020 revenue of $19.4 billion, down from $20.3 billion in 2019 and $21.8 billion in 2018. For the 2021 first half, revenue on a pro forma basis was $9.4 billion. As stated in the filing, the company had losses on a GAAP basis in both 2020 and the first half of 2021, but that includes one-time charges related to both workforce reduction and the spinoff. While the filing doesn’t clearly disclose non-GAAP results, a source close to the transaction notes that on an adjusted basis, Kynrdryl had pretax profits of $378 million in 2020 and $156 million in the first half of 2021.

IBM said in the filing that Kyndryl addresses a market growing about 7% a year, to an expected $510 billion by 2024.

The company didn’t provide any forward guidance, and it didn’t provide any data on a future dividend policy. But IBM does say in the filing that “following the separation, the initial combined dividend level of Kyndryl and IBM is expected to be no less than IBM’s pre-spin dividend per share.” IBM shares have a current dividend yield of 4.7%.

As shown in the filing, Kyrndryl’s balance sheet would initially have about $1 billion in net debt. IBM has previously indicated that it expects Kyndryl to have an investment-grade credit rating.

The filing indicates that on a pro forma basis, IBM’s adjusted 2020 revenue would be $55 billion from continuing operations, down from the originally reported $73.6 billion.

IBM also announced Kyndryl’s board members. The 10-member group includes CEO Martin Schroeter, who also was named the company’s chairman. Stephen Hester, former CEO of the Royal Bank of Scotland, was named lead independent director.

Other board members include former Johnson & Johnson chief financial officer Dominic Caruso; John Harris, former CEO of Raytheon International; Shirley Ann Jackson, the president of Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute; Janina Kugel, former chief human resources officer at Siemens; Denis Machuel, CEO of Sodexo; Rahul Merchant, senior executive vice president of client service and technology at TIAA-CREF; Jana Schreuder, former chief operating officer at Northern Trust; and Howard Ungerleider, president and chief financial officer at Dow Inc.

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| 4462 views | | 5 replies (last October 3, 2021) | Reply
Post ID: @OP+1d4rvOH3

5 replies (most recent on top)

The first 3 pages of the 8 revelations offer a picture that is quite hazy And concerning

  1. Revenue is really crashing (thats less spend with Kyndryl)

2021 = 9.52 - .5% vs 2020 (pro forma)
2020 = 19.35 -4.5%
2019 = 20.28 -7.0%

Americas is even worse as they are shrinking at 7% NOTE Europe is shrinking at 3.7%
2020 = 7.4 -6.9%
2019 = 7.95 - 7.3%
2018 = 8.58

How IBM got there is more of the concern -2.01 billion loss in 2020 and - 887 million pro forma loss in 2021. (NOTE IBM took a 800 million restructuring charge in 2020). It appears the 2021 run rate is very near the 2020 run rate (take the pro forma times 2 = 1.774 billion loss) That means the 2020 restructuring didn’t help vs the shrink rate. In 2021 it also appears IBM took another large restructuring (1 billion announced in 2nd q analyst call) or the shrink rate is still raging. Either way revenue is really shrinking and IBM hasn’t found the bottom RA wise.

Finally we can compare pre-tax profits
2020 = 378 million (note includes 800 million restructuring)
2021 = 156 million pro forma (note includes 2020 restructuring and a portion of the 2021 1 billion restructuring) We can speculate 312 million full year thus a 17% shrink rate on profit

The question is have we reached the bottom yet It does not appear so as RA’s are quasi accounting for the revenue shrink rate. Profits are slowly bleeding away. IBM will reach the bottom, but it’s going to hurt manpower wise

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Post ID: @4mpj+1d4rvOH3

8 Big New Revelations About IBM’s Kyndryl Spin-Off --
https://www.crn.com/slide-shows/managed-services/8-big-new-revelations-about-ibm-s-kyndryl-spin-off

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Post ID: @2lyl+1d4rvOH3

[Quoting entire article from link in comment @1rrq+1d4rvOH3].

IBM Meets With Analysts on Monday. Why You Might Want to Own the Stock Now. --

On Monday, IBM will hold a meeting with analysts, presumably to discuss the financial details of its coming spinoff of Kyndryl, the company’s 90,000-employee IT infrastructure business. You might want to be long the stock headed into the event.

Earlier this week, IBM (ticker: IBM) made an important filing with the SEC about the spinoff. It gave investors a first look at some of the financial details of the transaction, which it expects to close before year end. IBM expects to distribute at least 80.1% of the new company’s shares to current shareholders in a tax-free stock dividend. It will sell the remaining shares over the next 12 months, likely using the proceeds to reduce debt.

The filing shows that Kyndryl, on a pro forma basis, had 2020 revenue of $19.4 billion, down from $20.3 billion in 2019 and $21.8 billion in 2018. For the 2021 first half, revenue on a pro forma basis was $9.4 billion. Adjusted for costs related to the spinoff and recent workforce reductions, Kyndryl had pretax profits of $378 million in 2020 and $156 million in the first half of 2021. The filing also indicates that on a pro forma basis, IBM’s adjusted 2020 revenue would be $55 billion from continuing operations, down from the originally reported $73.6 billion.

Despite the recent pattern of modest year-over-year revenue declines, IBM makes it clear in the filing that it sees growth potential for Kyndryl, noting that the company addresses a market for IT services growing at about 7% a year that it estimates will reach $510 billion by 2024.

Evercore ISI hardware analyst Amit Daryanani on Thursday added IBM to his firm’s “tactical outperform” list, suggesting Monday’s event could be a positive catalyst for the stock. He writes that investors will be “positively biased” to the upside potential in post-spinoff IBM, anticipating the company will project mid-single-digit top-line growth and high-teen pretax margins. And he sees signs of stabilization in the Kyndryl business, noting that the recent filing shows revenue was up 0.3% in the June quarter, reversing the recent pattern of revenue declines.

IBM has reported shrinking revenue in eight of the past nine years. Its last growth year was a scant 0.6% in 2018. The last significant growth came in 2011, when the business grew 7.1%.

Daryanani notes that IBM in the filing cited Atos, DXC, Fujitsu, Infosys , Rackspace , Tata Consultancy Services , and Wipro as competitors for Kyndryl. He points out that the peer group trades in the range of six to seven times Ebitda, or earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. That suggests a valuation for Kyndryl in the $14.5 billion to $17 billion range, or about 11% to 14% of IBM’s current valuation.

Daryanani keeps his In Line rating and $150 target price on IBM shares, but adds that the stock could be worth $160 or more on a sum-of-the-parts basis.

IBM stock is up 0.3%, at $139.56, in recent trading. The stock has rallied more than 5% over the past seven trading days. Kyndryl will trade on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker KD.

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Post ID: @1vou+1d4rvOH3

A little more detail

https://www.barrons.com/articles/ibm-meets-with-analysts-on-monday-why-you-might-want-to-own-the-stock-now-51633014206

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Post ID: @1rrq+1d4rvOH3

The transfer of only 1 billion in debt is very disappointing Debt is the yoke around IBM’s neck right now. I guess IGF will have to really up their factoring of debt to make the books look better

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Post ID: @kgo+1d4rvOH3

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