If you want to speculate, I would say the order of operations:
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Troublemakers and underperformers
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People in redundant or non-critical positions
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People in departments that won't be needed during Chapter 11 proceedings
Those will likely be the first to go. So if you rubbed people the wrong way, did not "fit in" and were largely unremarkable or if you were in a stagnant position, generally passed up for promotions or even lateral moves or are in a position/role that could be cut without any impact to the day-to-day running, one of those boxes is probably yours.
Survivors for another day would be folks that perform well, or have a good reputation with upper management, folks in roles critical to the day-to-day or will be needed for the bankruptcy.
This is pretty much Survivor end-game, as Sears management makes the call on who will be part of the skeleton transition crew to help transition from bankruptcy to restructure or bankruptcy to liquidation.
As far as I can tell this post that I took from another thread is not based on any official or insider info, not even rumors, and is pure speculation, but I have to agree with the OP’s ( @W8YoYjp-tjj ) logic on what categories could be impacted first