Thread regarding 2U Inc. layoffs

Scenarios

Clock is ticking on the delisting warning. What are the options for the brass?

(1) Wait and pray. It takes another 6 months+ after a delisting warning that things get serious. And then they can do a reverse stock split to inflate the price. Could a miracle happen?

(2) Sell out to another company, someone that has the leverage to renegotiate $800m in loans. Most likely VC's who are good at dismembering organizations to regain profitability--the big ones have leverage. But could they find value--like Apollo Global Management did with the University of Phoenix? Are there enough folks to cut? Can they move Lanham HQ to a place on the corner of Good Luck Road and Glendale Blvd-- or in Bladensberg--or West Baltimore?

(3) Very very very outside chance of another edtech company like Coursera or Byjus buying up the same non-profitable sh*t that got Chip in trouble--even at a lowball price. They would have to find some way to convince bankers that somehow edX could be profitable. Good luck with that.

(4) Wait some more. Secretly gather as many documents as possible for a Qui Tam case. Leave before the feds visit.

by
| 1341 views | | 17 replies (last February 18, 2024) | Reply
Post ID: @OP+1r7rCOdM

17 replies (most recent on top)

Boiler room in Mumbai

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @1bch+1r7rCOdM

Offshore and underground.

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @1twj+1r7rCOdM

I'd expect to see some of the labor head offshore as well.

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @1xml+1r7rCOdM

Revenue is not value if ripping off consumers drives revenues. Sooner or later, they realize they bought an "Onega" watch.

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @1aib+1r7rCOdM

There is value in the company. They're doing close to $1B in revenue and are generating Free Cash Flow. EdX has value - although not $800m or whatever they paid for it. The relationships with the Universities have value. Trilogy must have some value. They just have a lot of debt but if Paul can work with the creditors there is a future there.

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @1jyr+1r7rCOdM

I asked JK if there was any value left in 2U. He said maybe--in existing relationships with elite universities. Didn't make sense to me since it was like those schools being friends with a hosta***. Like Stockholm Syndrome? JK has been gone for so long, I wasn't sure what he meant.

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @1dmu+1r7rCOdM

There's way more labor cost that can potentially be cut. They can also scale back on the massive marketing budget. At this point the impact won't be substantial. All of the steps they're taking to mitigate the problems with the business should have been taken 18+ months ago.

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @1wuu+1r7rCOdM

Well they've already cut labor costs, and are in the process of trying to renegotiate their debt. How would it be that much different then what they've already done?

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @1dfs+1r7rCOdM

LBO would involve selling off parts of the company for cash to payoff existing debt, renegotiating existing debt, cutting labor costs, and maybe leveraging up the existing profitable parts of the business to flip in the near future.

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @1ilu+1r7rCOdM

In a LBO would the company still operate somewhat as is?

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @1vyq+1r7rCOdM

@SVP - what kind of entity would be looking to acquire?

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @1uhj+1r7rCOdM

The for sales sign is up for a LBO. VCs won’t touch us.

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @rxm+1r7rCOdM

Delisting isnt that big a concern - they can just do a reverse stock split, but even that would probably be unlikely since they have 6 months to get the stock back over $1.

Paul is going to be able to refinance the debt before it comes due - most likely in the second quarter or early third quarter. He's cut nearly $100M in expenses and will continue to do so and the company is cash flow positive. Chip wasted a lot of money and those days are over. Most of the losses are accounting related like goodwill impairment. If they could find a buyer for one of segments of the business like Trilogy it would probably be huge as it could be used to pay down other debt.

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @gzf+1r7rCOdM

I've long thought 2 was likely and have wondered why it didn't happen a year ago.

As for Byju's, I have a feeling they were ready to buy but freaked out at something, probably the finances.

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @aek+1r7rCOdM

How about Donald Trump as an angel investor?

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @nce+1r7rCOdM

(5) Take copious notes and pitch a story to Netflix called F-U. If that doesn't work, go with #4. And pray.

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @cyu+1r7rCOdM

#1 and #4 are not mutually exclusive.

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @gae+1r7rCOdM

Post a reply

: