Thread regarding ExxonMobil Corp. layoffs

Here's the plan - and it's not that bad!

Q: I am 24. I want to retire at 65. I plan to live to 85. How much do I need to save every year if I want to spend $100K every year after retirement?

A:

To retire at 65, live until 85, and spend about $100,000 per year in retirement, you would need to save roughly $6,700 per year starting at age 24. That is about $560 per month. This estimate assumes your investments earn about 7% annually before retirement and about 4% during retirement, with your retirement spending measured in today’s dollars.

The estimate was calculated in two steps. First, I found how much money would be needed at age 65 to fund $100,000 of annual spending for 20 years in retirement, treating retirement withdrawals like a 20-year annuity discounted at a 4% annual return. That gave a required retirement balance of about $1.36 million. Second, I calculated the fixed annual savings needed from age 24 to 65 to grow to that amount, assuming a 7% annual investment return during the saving period.


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| 5 views | | 8 replies (last April 21) | Reply
Post ID: @OP+1kp6qwsjw

8 replies (most recent on top)

Aah, I remember when I was that young thinking that I wanted to work until I was 65. Life will happen to you young grasshopper. You will hopefully gain fulfillment outside of XOM and realize that giving your best retirement years to work longer is not the best choice. Go to YouTube, search for Nick Maher and watch some of his videos. Plan for 55...

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Post ID: @15y+1kp6qwsjw

thank you all i am the @op - some good tips here. it's appreciated.

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Post ID: @15c+1kp6qwsjw

This board is full of uninformed and overly pessimistic people. Not useful feedback. The 4% rule already includes the inevitable inflation and volatility. Including social security is an obvious miss that makes your retirement much easier to achieve, and simple math shows that although a haircut may occur, most of SS will remain. maybe assume 80% collection. SS Phased-out is a radical and unlikeley outcome.

I would encourage seeing how early you can retire w bigger contributions. You don't want to work longer than needed for retirement u less you love the work and hate retirement.

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Post ID: @hb+1kp6qwsjw

Easier math is to calculate how much you need in today dollars and multiply by 25 years...then you have social security and pension lump sum as gravy. You need 2.5 million in todays dollars...so escalate for 30 years inflation at whatever you think inflation to inflate 2.5 million to money of the day when you retire...expect it to double because of inflation...you will need 5 million. plus tax rate will be higher in 30 years...

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Post ID: @bq+1kp6qwsjw

You need to improve your planning and modeling capabilities or you will be pip’d long before you reach age 65.

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Post ID: @b6+1kp6qwsjw

My advice, skip the modeling at this point. Save 15% of your pretax income if you want to retire average EM rich. Save 25% if you want to retire fabulous EM rich. Put as much of that in Roth as you’re allowed as long as you don’t exceed 24% tax bracket. That’s all the plan you need.

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Post ID: @ap+1kp6qwsjw

Put the data into chatGPT and it will tell you exactly what you need.

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Post ID: @aj+1kp6qwsjw

In 40 years, $100K will barely pay for your healthcare. You should not plan on Social Security or Gov provided health benefits, that's all going to be phased out.

So if you assume a 3% annual inflation, the equivalent of $100K today would be just about $350K and that's what you need to add to your calculator/AI planner. Then repeat the same thing for other assumed inflation values. You'd get something like: at 2% inflation your equivalent is $250K, 4% will give you $500K, @ 5% you are looking at $700K+

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Post ID: @a3+1kp6qwsjw

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