Thread regarding Intel Corp. layoffs

Why Intel failed and as noted past the rescue point

Can’t claim credit but well put.

At a high level, it was Intel’s dominance. Because of the monopoly status it had acquired through the real and historic leaders in the company (Moore, Grove...) , the subsequent 'leadership' pipeline did not intrinsically have nor had to develop the skills needed to run a technology company with the stature and scale of Intel. I used to say that literally, you could put a monkey at the helm of Intel and it would still pump out loads of cash and dominate. As the true historic leaders retired and the competitive landscape got tougher and more capable with new key segments that our monopoly did not cover (i.e. mobile/iPhone), the cracks showed and because we had leaders that did not have the skills/capabilities to help Intel compete, we were not only not able to compete in the new market, but the key players in the new market (i.e. TSMC via Apple business) started building a pipeline of leading edge semiconductor technologies that enabled all of Intel's historic competitors (AMD, NVIDIA, Apple...) and now new competitors (Amazon, Google, Microsoft through their in house data center chips). They are all eating Intel's luck and the sad news is that there is a lot of lunch to still be had..... As someone who worked at Intel for nearly 30yrs and retired from it, it is very sad to see what has and will come of the once greatest technology company on the planet.

@6qgd+1k3KKypY

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| 1701 views | | 8 replies (last December 14, 2022) | Reply
Post ID: @OP+1k9hMNfQ

8 replies (most recent on top)

Also why would Intel be worth 5x with zero growth in PCs?

It’s exactly where is should be. Flat for 10-15 years due to market saturation.

Intel needs new markets. They’re just really bad at them. Also due to the innovators dilemma since almost all new markets don’t have golden 60% gross margins.

PCs are tapped out.

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Post ID: @2gho+1k9hMNfQ

Loss of manufacturing leadership is a direct result of missing mobile phones. One needs growth to sustain leading edge fab investments. PCs have been flat for over a decade.

Mobile would have propelled the fab virtuous cycle. That cycle was broken due to PC market saturation.

That is why Intel is pursuing foundry.

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Post ID: @2lfa+1k9hMNfQ

@2qba+1k9hMNfQ. Totally agree with you. There is ZERO accountability at Intel. When Kaizad Mistry (who was the most arrogant self centered person leading the disaterous 10nm program) is still employed by Intel, you know there is no accountability. Not sure what culture Pat is trying to build, but the old Intel culture had accountability at its foundation. No accountability and you have failure... or in Intel's case, continued failure.

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Post ID: @2kze+1k9hMNfQ

@1kmy+1k9hMNfQ a lot of things could have been covered up if LTD didn’t fail so spectacular at 10nm and 7nm. Products would have been launched and Intel would have held off AMD at a minimum and all their success and growth would be Intel’s.

But what happens was two generations of products and too many other products canceled due to the arrogant and broken culture in LTD and lack of a transparent culture or any competence outside of LTD.
Now technology leadership and scale gone. Leadership may reach parity but never one generation ahead so without scale never competitive again.

From the BoD down thru all the senior VPs total FUBAR.

All the seeds were obvious a decade ago before it became obvious but total lack of competence and accountability and integrity.

The same problem and culture still permeates the company and most organizations.

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Post ID: @2qba+1k9hMNfQ

Innovator’s dilemma is ONE of the results of the true high level cause of Intel’s demise: Success/Market Dominance.

I can argue that if Intel was still executing on its core business ( client, data center), it would be a very solid business footing. Yes, not a trillion $ company, but easily worth 5x what it is now and no need for mass layoffs.

Even more important than coming up with a solution for the ARM threat was, it’s loss of semiconductor manufacturing leadership which had nothing to do with innovator’s dilemma.

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Post ID: @1kmy+1k9hMNfQ

Ah the debates I had and getting reprimanded for not understanding how x86 paid the bills and shut up about caring what customers wanted or comparing to what TSMC offered.

All those people got of fly the Titanic, me too BTW

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Post ID: @1whv+1k9hMNfQ

Innovator's Dilemma. EXACTLY

and the most damning thing is that Intel recognized the threat / opportunity of ARM and bought StrongARM from Digital Equipment Corp. (along with their fab, ha ah) circa 97. Anyway Intel starts making application processors but by '08 Intel was stinjing from many failed acquisitions and XScale (Intel's ARM application processor) was struggling to gain traction. So, PSO shut it down.

Well now the chickens have come home to roost. The ARM architecture is winning in mobile (Apple processor), winning in data center (home grown ARM chips along with Ampere, the startup in Portland). It's a brush fire consuming each adjacent field.

Intel just could not stick with the strategy and see it through. It's a damn shame.

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Post ID: @1imu+1k9hMNfQ

Classic innovator’s dilemma.

Intel could never just justify replacing high margin PC silicon with low margin mobile silicon. Managers were acting rationally.

The innovator’s dilemma is basically unsolvable due to economic incentives. It is the fate of many technology companies.

Read the book. It’s very enlightening.

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Post ID: @azh+1k9hMNfQ

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