Boeing-IAM contract talks fail, no new negotiations scheduled, no end in sight
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By Scott Hamilton
Oct. 9, 2024, (c) Leeham News: Contract talks between Boeing and its largest union, the IAM 751, broke off again yesterday after the two sides failed to make progress to reach an agreement.
The strike is four weeks old tomorrow. No new talks are scheduled and there is no end in sight to the strike.
The two sides issued public statements yesterday that make it seem they weren’t even at the same meeting.
Click on image to enlarge. Credit: Boeing, IAM 751.
What’s next?
Workers maintain the picket line as the strike marches on. Boeing, according to news reports, has met with its bankers. The company is burning through $50m to $150m of cash a day, depending on the analysis by outsiders. (Boeing’s 3Q2024 earnings call is Oct. 23, when the cash burn will become clear.) It entered the strike with $13bn in cash and marketable securities and had a $10bn untapped credit line.
The last strike by the union, in 2008, ran 57 days. It took two years for Boeing to fully recover from that one. Then, its production system was operating smoothly. Today, Boeing struggles to return to the March 12, 2019, rates on the 737 and 787 lines. That was the day before the 737 MAX was grounded for 21 months by global regulators and a year before the COVID-19 pandemic virtually shut down production. on all lines. The Federal Aviation Administration continues to dramatically oversee production. Boeing still has 737s and 787s in inventory that requires major rework before deliveries can be made.
Before the strike, Boeing’s production on the two lines was far below the 2019 levels and well below its recovery plan. Boeing already burned through more than $8bn in cash through the first half of the year. Using the outsider estimates of cash burn during this strike, Boeing is burning through $1.5bn to $4.5bn of cash a month. According to news reports, executives are considering an equity raise of $10bn–but the assumption is that this won’t happen until after the strike is settled. The stock price in pre-market trading today was $151.84, down $2.70 per share after the news of the negotiations last night.